Bullion

Silver

Neutral

metals · Last COT: 2026-08-25

This page combines weekly CFTC Commitments of Traders positioning for Silver futures with seasonality, price context, and macro indicators. Percentiles show where the latest net position sits relative to its recent history; extremes can reveal crowded or washed-out positioning, but they are context rather than a standalone trade signal.

At a glance

A reading of the inputs, not a trade recommendation.

Net positioning

Managed Money net positioning is within its recent range (31th percentile).

Crowd risk

Neutral

Gross long exposure is not at the dashboard's concentration threshold.

Price context

Price sits 47% through its 52-week range, without a flagged price-positioning divergence.

Seasonality and macro

Strong seasonal bias for week 35. Macro is mixed.

Compare these inputs together. A low net-position percentile can coexist with high gross-long concentration, and price or macro can point in a different direction.

Price
67.79

As of 2026-08-28 · -1.64 (-2.4%)

52-wk Range
47%

41.07 — 100.93

Managed Money Net
+14,073

WoW: +2,378 (+20.3%)

Producer Net
-17,153

WoW: -1,066 (-6.6%)

Swap Dealer Net
-27,900

WoW: +805 (+2.8%)

52-wk Percentile
63.5%

Based on 52 observations

105-wk Percentile
31.4%

Based on 105 observations

Z-Score
-0.87
Crowd Risk
Neutral
Seasonal Ret
+1.44%

Week 35 · 21y avg

Seasonal Win%
76.2%

21 years of data

Seasonal Bias
Strong
Swap Net: ShortHedger-Speculator DivergenceMM Long Concentration: 74.5%

Price Context

Price is in the lower half of its range (47%) with moderate-to-bearish positioning (31th percentile) — price and COT are directionally aligned. No divergence signal.

COT Baseline Price

69.43

As of 2026-08-24

+1.40 (+2.06%) WoW

52-Week Range

41.07
100.93

47%

Divergence

No Divergence

Seasonality

Current Week (35)
Strong
Avg Return
+1.44%
Win Rate
76.2%(21y)
3 Strongest Weeks
Week 15+2.17% (67%)
Week 34+1.99% (76%)
Week 52+1.95% (70%)
3 Weakest Weeks
Week 18-2.16% (29%)
Week 53-1.85% (33%)
Week 24-1.72% (43%)
Industrial demand (solar panels, electronics) creates a steady base. Silver often follows gold's seasonal patterns but with higher volatility. Q4 tends to see physical buying strength.

Macro Context

Mixed
COT × Macro Alignment: COT positioning is mid-range (31th percentile) while macro is Mixed.
DXY (USD Index)
99.68+0.52 (+0.5%)

A falling dollar makes gold and silver cheaper for foreign buyers, supporting prices. A rising dollar is a headwind for precious metals.

US 10Y Yield
4.72+0.05 (+1.0%)

Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding metals like gold. Falling yields are bullish for precious metals.

13-Week T-Bill
3.73+0.05 (+1.4%)

Higher short-term rates signal tighter Fed policy, which historically pressures gold. Lower rates ease monetary conditions and support metals.

VIX
14.43-0.08 (-0.6%)

Elevated volatility drives safe-haven demand into gold and silver. Low VIX reflects complacency and reduces the urgency to hold precious metals.

Last 52 Weeks

CSV export includes up to five years of weekly observations.

DateMM NetProducer NetSwap NetOpen Interest52-wk %ile105-wk %ileZ-ScoreWoW Chg
2026-08-25+14,073-17,153-27,900113,80163.5%31.4%-0.87+2,378 (+20.3%)
2026-08-18+11,695-16,087-28,705120,11748.1%23.8%-1.08+537 (+4.8%)
2026-08-11+11,158-15,946-28,028115,12735.6%17.6%-1.14-816 (-6.8%)
2026-08-04+11,974-13,080-27,342111,99948.1%23.8%-1.09+2,792 (+30.4%)
2026-07-28+9,182-13,029-25,780106,71915.4%7.6%-1.33-2,100 (-18.6%)
2026-07-21+11,282-13,044-27,409106,41038.5%19.0%-1.18-219 (-1.9%)
2026-07-14+11,501-12,708-29,889105,02338.5%19.0%-1.19-1,700 (-12.9%)
2026-07-07+13,201-13,356-29,739104,85944.2%21.9%-1.07-581 (-4.2%)
2026-06-30+13,782-12,271-29,054108,96444.2%21.9%-1.04+2,041 (+17.4%)
2026-06-23+11,741-13,722-26,518108,94440.4%20.0%-1.23-1,144 (-8.9%)
2026-06-16+12,885-16,612-25,706107,72140.4%20.0%-1.16+2,482 (+23.9%)
2026-06-09+10,403-16,659-23,709103,44025.0%12.4%-1.39-41 (-0.4%)
2026-06-02+10,444-17,993-24,668102,80925.0%12.4%-1.42+389 (+3.9%)
2026-05-26+10,055-19,545-21,348101,74419.2%9.5%-1.48-1,509 (-13.0%)
2026-05-19+11,564-19,293-23,375100,75132.7%16.2%-1.38-4,197 (-26.6%)
2026-05-12+15,761-19,632-24,014103,80036.5%18.1%-1.05+4,918 (+45.4%)
2026-05-05+10,843-17,613-22,92296,93225.0%12.4%-1.50+237 (+2.2%)
2026-04-28+10,606-18,110-22,342101,27523.1%11.4%-1.55+1,738 (+19.6%)
2026-04-21+8,868-16,417-24,568115,46213.5%6.7%-1.74-2,402 (-21.3%)
2026-04-14+11,270-16,756-23,377116,98325.0%12.4%-1.57+872 (+8.4%)
2026-04-07+10,398-15,570-23,345115,13819.2%9.5%-1.68-868 (-7.7%)
2026-03-31+11,266-15,492-23,365115,16921.2%10.5%-1.65+108 (+1.0%)
2026-03-24+11,158-15,242-25,046113,16419.2%9.5%-1.70+1,511 (+15.7%)
2026-03-17+9,647-14,797-23,561114,75813.5%6.7%-1.88-642 (-6.2%)
2026-03-10+10,289-16,153-25,424115,45815.4%7.6%-1.87+2,523 (+32.5%)
2026-03-03+7,766-15,015-24,951113,3269.6%4.8%-2.12-757 (-8.9%)
2026-02-24+8,523-16,675-24,405125,4549.6%5.7%-1.99+2,555 (+42.8%)
2026-02-17+5,968-15,883-26,464131,4965.8%4.8%-2.20+1,399 (+30.6%)
2026-02-10+4,569-16,790-25,373133,6411.9%2.9%-2.23-414 (-8.3%)
2026-02-03+4,983-18,267-27,458143,1801.9%3.8%-2.14-2,716 (-35.3%)
2026-01-27+7,699-21,213-22,843156,6371.9%5.7%-1.91-2,247 (-22.6%)
2026-01-20+9,946-19,756-26,633152,0201.9%6.7%-1.67-3,846 (-27.9%)
2026-01-13+13,792-25,511-29,781151,5131.9%7.6%-1.33-2,030 (-12.8%)
2026-01-06+15,822-25,545-26,146153,2403.8%10.5%-1.15+1,814 (+12.9%)
2025-12-30+14,008-26,074-24,188157,3911.9%8.6%-1.30-7,600 (-35.2%)
2025-12-23+21,608-24,229-30,038155,71013.5%18.1%-0.67-279 (-1.3%)
2025-12-16+21,887-25,373-29,818152,92115.4%19.0%-0.64-3,888 (-15.1%)
2025-12-09+25,775-28,837-31,990154,76228.8%32.4%-0.30+6,801 (+35.8%)
2025-12-02+18,974-26,739-29,900150,8325.8%15.2%-0.86-87 (-0.5%)
2025-11-25+19,061-24,193-29,075144,5415.8%15.2%-0.86-1,173 (-5.8%)
2025-11-18+20,234-23,552-29,874153,2957.7%17.1%-0.76-3,306 (-14.0%)
2025-11-10+23,540-23,321-27,987217,29719.2%24.8%-0.47+4,383 (+22.9%)
2025-11-04+19,157-22,607-30,057155,2575.8%18.1%-0.80-2,742 (-12.5%)
2025-10-28+21,899-23,520-32,065158,1877.7%20.0%-0.56+4,687 (+27.2%)
2025-10-21+17,212-23,490-33,747169,4183.8%19.0%-0.91-5,826 (-25.3%)
2025-10-14+23,038-26,013-38,642172,4159.6%23.8%-0.44-4,455 (-16.2%)
2025-10-07+27,493-24,038-44,648166,47426.9%41.0%-0.08-7,428 (-21.3%)
2025-09-30+34,921-26,823-44,267163,83757.7%65.7%0.49-2,178 (-5.9%)
2025-09-23+37,099-28,823-43,932165,80565.4%72.4%0.66+1,293 (+3.6%)
2025-09-16+35,806-27,925-43,464162,95459.6%70.5%0.58-49 (-0.1%)
2025-09-09+35,855-27,944-45,458156,70359.6%71.4%0.60-2,915 (-7.5%)
2025-09-02+38,770-29,721-44,476158,36867.3%79.0%0.82+5,799 (+17.6%)

Who Is Holding

Weekly holder positioning stacked by net size in contracts

Each holder is merged to a net position, then stacked from the largest holder at the bottom to the smallest at the top.

Swap DealersNonreportableProducer / MerchantManaged MoneyOther Reportables