Bullion

Silver

Neutral

metals · Last COT: 2026-10-13

This page combines weekly CFTC Commitments of Traders positioning for Silver futures with seasonality, price context, and macro indicators. Percentiles show where the latest net position sits relative to its recent history; extremes can reveal crowded or washed-out positioning, but they are context rather than a standalone trade signal.

At a glance

A reading of the inputs, not a trade recommendation.

Net positioning

Managed Money net positioning is low versus the last two years (3th percentile).

Crowd risk

Neutral

Gross long exposure is not at the dashboard's concentration threshold.

Price context

Price sits 17% through its 52-week range, without a flagged price-positioning divergence.

Seasonality and macro

Neutral seasonal bias for week 43. Macro is mixed.

Compare these inputs together. A low net-position percentile can coexist with high gross-long concentration, and price or macro can point in a different direction.

Price
55.93

As of 2026-10-22 · -0.9070 (-1.6%)

52-wk Range
17%

47.99 — 100.93

Managed Money Net
+5,619

WoW: -1,909 (-25.4%)

Producer Net
-15,801

WoW: +452 (+2.8%)

Swap Dealer Net
-23,641

WoW: +1,698 (+6.7%)

52-wk Percentile
5.8%

Based on 52 observations

105-wk Percentile
2.9%

Based on 105 observations

Z-Score
-1.41
Crowd Risk
Neutral
Seasonal Ret
+1.28%

Week 43 · 20y avg

Seasonal Win%
60.0%

20 years of data

Seasonal Bias
Neutral
Swap Net: ShortHedger-Speculator DivergenceMM Long Concentration: 60.8%

Price Context

Price is near 52-week lows (17%) and managed money is heavily short (3th percentile) — price and positioning are aligned bearish. Contrarian bounce potential increases at these extremes.

COT Baseline Price

56.84

As of 2026-10-12

-2.23 (-3.77%) WoW

52-Week Range

47.99
100.93

17%

Divergence

No Divergence

Seasonality

Current Week (43)
➖ Neutral
Avg Return
+1.28%
Win Rate
60.0%(20y)
3 Strongest Weeks
Week 15+2.17% (67%)
Week 34+1.99% (76%)
Week 52+1.95% (70%)
3 Weakest Weeks
Week 18-2.16% (29%)
Week 53-1.85% (33%)
Week 24-1.72% (43%)
Industrial demand (solar panels, electronics) creates a steady base. Silver often follows gold's seasonal patterns but with higher volatility. Q4 tends to see physical buying strength.

Macro Context

Mixed
COT × Macro Alignment: COT positioning is at a 2-year low (3th percentile — bullish contrarian) while macro is Mixed.
DXY (USD Index)
101.69-0.31 (-0.3%)↓

A falling dollar makes gold and silver cheaper for foreign buyers, supporting prices. A rising dollar is a headwind for precious metals.

US 10Y Yield
5.15+0.06 (+1.1%)↑

Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding metals like gold. Falling yields are bullish for precious metals.

13-Week T-Bill
4.06-0.02 (-0.6%)↓

Higher short-term rates signal tighter Fed policy, which historically pressures gold. Lower rates ease monetary conditions and support metals.

VIX
16.68+0.22 (+1.3%)↑

Elevated volatility drives safe-haven demand into gold and silver. Low VIX reflects complacency and reduces the urgency to hold precious metals.

Last 52 Weeks

CSV export includes up to five years of weekly observations.

DateMM NetProducer NetSwap NetOpen Interest52-wk %ile105-wk %ileZ-ScoreWoW Chg
2026-10-13+5,619-15,801-23,641108,4335.8%2.9%-1.41-1,909 (-25.4%)
2026-10-06+7,528-16,253-25,339105,1307.7%3.8%-1.28-86 (-1.1%)
2026-09-29+7,614-16,512-23,498107,0477.7%3.8%-1.30-5,695 (-42.8%)
2026-09-22+13,309-18,512-26,242106,47461.5%30.5%-0.87+185 (+1.4%)
2026-09-15+13,124-17,354-25,346103,74557.7%28.6%-0.90-1,262 (-8.8%)
2026-09-08+14,386-17,517-27,391103,25067.3%33.3%-0.82+1,788 (+14.2%)
2026-09-01+12,598-16,675-28,605104,36253.8%26.7%-0.97-1,475 (-10.5%)
2026-08-25+14,073-17,153-27,900113,80163.5%31.4%-0.87+2,378 (+20.3%)
2026-08-18+11,695-16,087-28,705120,11748.1%23.8%-1.08+537 (+4.8%)
2026-08-11+11,158-15,946-28,028115,12735.6%17.6%-1.14-816 (-6.8%)
2026-08-04+11,974-13,080-27,342111,99948.1%23.8%-1.09+2,792 (+30.4%)
2026-07-28+9,182-13,029-25,780106,71915.4%7.6%-1.33-2,100 (-18.6%)
2026-07-21+11,282-13,044-27,409106,41038.5%19.0%-1.18-219 (-1.9%)
2026-07-14+11,501-12,708-29,889105,02338.5%19.0%-1.19-1,700 (-12.9%)
2026-07-07+13,201-13,356-29,739104,85944.2%21.9%-1.07-581 (-4.2%)
2026-06-30+13,782-12,271-29,054108,96444.2%21.9%-1.04+2,041 (+17.4%)
2026-06-23+11,741-13,722-26,518108,94440.4%20.0%-1.23-1,144 (-8.9%)
2026-06-16+12,885-16,612-25,706107,72140.4%20.0%-1.16+2,482 (+23.9%)
2026-06-09+10,403-16,659-23,709103,44025.0%12.4%-1.39-41 (-0.4%)
2026-06-02+10,444-17,993-24,668102,80925.0%12.4%-1.42+389 (+3.9%)
2026-05-26+10,055-19,545-21,348101,74419.2%9.5%-1.48-1,509 (-13.0%)
2026-05-19+11,564-19,293-23,375100,75132.7%16.2%-1.38-4,197 (-26.6%)
2026-05-12+15,761-19,632-24,014103,80036.5%18.1%-1.05+4,918 (+45.4%)
2026-05-05+10,843-17,613-22,92296,93225.0%12.4%-1.50+237 (+2.2%)
2026-04-28+10,606-18,110-22,342101,27523.1%11.4%-1.55+1,738 (+19.6%)
2026-04-21+8,868-16,417-24,568115,46213.5%6.7%-1.74-2,402 (-21.3%)
2026-04-14+11,270-16,756-23,377116,98325.0%12.4%-1.57+872 (+8.4%)
2026-04-07+10,398-15,570-23,345115,13819.2%9.5%-1.68-868 (-7.7%)
2026-03-31+11,266-15,492-23,365115,16921.2%10.5%-1.65+108 (+1.0%)
2026-03-24+11,158-15,242-25,046113,16419.2%9.5%-1.70+1,511 (+15.7%)
2026-03-17+9,647-14,797-23,561114,75813.5%6.7%-1.88-642 (-6.2%)
2026-03-10+10,289-16,153-25,424115,45815.4%7.6%-1.87+2,523 (+32.5%)
2026-03-03+7,766-15,015-24,951113,3269.6%4.8%-2.12-757 (-8.9%)
2026-02-24+8,523-16,675-24,405125,4549.6%5.7%-1.99+2,555 (+42.8%)
2026-02-17+5,968-15,883-26,464131,4965.8%4.8%-2.20+1,399 (+30.6%)
2026-02-10+4,569-16,790-25,373133,6411.9%2.9%-2.23-414 (-8.3%)
2026-02-03+4,983-18,267-27,458143,1801.9%3.8%-2.14-2,716 (-35.3%)
2026-01-27+7,699-21,213-22,843156,6371.9%5.7%-1.91-2,247 (-22.6%)
2026-01-20+9,946-19,756-26,633152,0201.9%6.7%-1.67-3,846 (-27.9%)
2026-01-13+13,792-25,511-29,781151,5131.9%7.6%-1.33-2,030 (-12.8%)
2026-01-06+15,822-25,545-26,146153,2403.8%10.5%-1.15+1,814 (+12.9%)
2025-12-30+14,008-26,074-24,188157,3911.9%8.6%-1.30-7,600 (-35.2%)
2025-12-23+21,608-24,229-30,038155,71013.5%18.1%-0.67-279 (-1.3%)
2025-12-16+21,887-25,373-29,818152,92115.4%19.0%-0.64-3,888 (-15.1%)
2025-12-09+25,775-28,837-31,990154,76228.8%32.4%-0.30+6,801 (+35.8%)
2025-12-02+18,974-26,739-29,900150,8325.8%15.2%-0.86-87 (-0.5%)
2025-11-25+19,061-24,193-29,075144,5415.8%15.2%-0.86-1,173 (-5.8%)
2025-11-18+20,234-23,552-29,874153,2957.7%17.1%-0.76-3,306 (-14.0%)
2025-11-10+23,540-23,321-27,987217,29719.2%24.8%-0.47+4,383 (+22.9%)
2025-11-04+19,157-22,607-30,057155,2575.8%18.1%-0.80-2,742 (-12.5%)
2025-10-28+21,899-23,520-32,065158,1877.7%20.0%-0.56+4,687 (+27.2%)
2025-10-21+17,212-23,490-33,747169,4183.8%19.0%-0.91-5,826 (-25.3%)

Who Is Holding

Weekly holder positioning stacked by net size in contracts

Each holder is merged to a net position, then stacked from the largest holder at the bottom to the smallest at the top.

Swap DealersOther ReportablesNonreportableProducer / MerchantManaged Money