Bullion

Soybean Meal

Neutral

agriculture · Last COT: 2026-08-25

This page combines weekly CFTC Commitments of Traders positioning for Soybean Meal futures with seasonality, price context, and macro indicators. Percentiles show where the latest net position sits relative to its recent history; extremes can reveal crowded or washed-out positioning, but they are context rather than a standalone trade signal.

At a glance

A reading of the inputs, not a trade recommendation.

Net positioning

Managed Money net positioning is within its recent range (89th percentile).

Crowd risk

Neutral

Gross long exposure is not at the dashboard's concentration threshold.

Price context

Price sits 83% through its 52-week range, without a flagged price-positioning divergence.

Seasonality and macro

Neutral seasonal bias for week 35. Macro is mixed.

Compare these inputs together. A low net-position percentile can coexist with high gross-long concentration, and price or macro can point in a different direction.

Price
348.90

As of 2026-08-28 · +18.70 (+5.7%)

52-wk Range
83%

267.40 — 342.70

Managed Money Net
+95,953

WoW: +12,638 (+15.2%)

Producer Net
-262,089

WoW: -206 (-0.1%)

Swap Dealer Net
+118,287

WoW: -2,516 (-2.1%)

CIT Net
+117,096

WoW: -398 (-0.3%)

52-wk Percentile
80.8%

Based on 52 observations

105-wk Percentile
88.6%

Based on 105 observations

Z-Score
1.43
Crowd Risk
Neutral
Seasonal Ret
+0.79%

Week 35 · 21y avg

Seasonal Win%
52.4%

21 years of data

Seasonal Bias
Neutral
Swap Net: LongHedger-Speculator DivergenceMM Long Concentration: 79.4%

Price Context

Price is near 52-week highs (83%) and managed money is heavily long (89th percentile) — price and positioning are aligned bullish, but crowded. Watch for reversal risk.

COT Baseline Price

330.20

As of 2026-08-24

+14.50 (+4.59%) WoW

52-Week Range

267.40
342.70

83%

Divergence

No Divergence

Seasonality

Current Week (35)
Neutral
Avg Return
+0.79%
Win Rate
52.4%(21y)
3 Strongest Weeks
Week 41+2.74% (65%)
Week 26+2.69% (71%)
Week 53+2.21% (67%)
3 Weakest Weeks
Week 38-3.44% (35%)
Week 29-3.07% (33%)
Week 33-2.15% (29%)
Meal demand peaks with livestock feeding cycles. Crush margins drive supply; post-harvest (Oct–Dec) abundant crush capacity tends to pressure meal prices.

Macro Context

Mixed
COT × Macro Alignment: COT positioning is elevated (89th percentile — leaning bearish) while macro is Mixed.
DXY (USD Index)
99.68+0.52 (+0.5%)

A weaker dollar makes US agricultural exports more competitive globally, supporting grain and soft commodity prices.

USD/BRL
5.21+0.06 (+1.1%)

A stronger Brazilian real makes Brazilian exports (sugar, coffee, soybeans) more expensive, supporting global prices. A weaker real is bearish.

Soybean/Corn Ratio
2.40-0.06 (-2.5%)

A high soybean/corn ratio incentivizes farmers to plant more soybeans and less corn, affecting future supply dynamics for both crops.

VIX
14.43-0.08 (-0.6%)

Elevated market volatility can disrupt trade flows and financing, creating uncertainty for agricultural commodity prices.

Last 52 Weeks

CSV export includes up to five years of weekly observations.

DateMM NetProducer NetSwap NetCIT NetOpen Interest52-wk %ile105-wk %ileZ-ScoreWoW Chg
2026-08-25+95,953-262,089+118,287+117,096608,35380.8%88.6%1.43+12,638 (+15.2%)
2026-08-18+83,315-261,883+120,803+117,494604,43376.9%86.7%1.30+9,625 (+13.1%)
2026-08-11+73,690-246,146+118,320+115,926603,98671.2%83.8%1.18-4,140 (-5.3%)
2026-08-04+77,830-246,716+115,701+116,698609,25875.0%85.7%1.25-9,866 (-11.3%)
2026-07-28+87,696-257,359+112,525+117,413621,64678.8%87.6%1.39+14,220 (+19.4%)
2026-07-21+73,476-249,593+114,590+114,443618,28975.0%85.7%1.22+26,900 (+57.8%)
2026-07-14+46,576-220,801+109,549+107,456599,35365.4%77.1%0.87+27,854 (+148.8%)
2026-07-07+18,722-197,084+110,867+103,943595,44761.5%68.6%0.49+13,982 (+295.0%)
2026-06-30+4,740-180,838+112,300+113,674588,51957.7%61.9%0.30-7,619 (-61.6%)
2026-06-23+12,359-189,325+111,006+118,181619,44659.6%63.8%0.38-7,101 (-36.5%)
2026-06-16+19,460-194,932+113,905+120,448642,97163.5%66.7%0.46-35,987 (-64.9%)
2026-06-09+55,447-217,969+108,199+127,225610,92671.2%75.2%0.90-71,785 (-56.4%)
2026-06-02+127,232-283,691+108,048+142,067666,63996.2%98.1%1.79+3,639 (+2.9%)
2026-05-26+123,593-289,730+108,772+142,656632,65596.2%98.1%1.75-6,018 (-4.6%)
2026-05-19+129,611-292,009+108,247+143,602620,29998.1%99.0%1.84+13,448 (+11.6%)
2026-05-12+116,163-267,568+105,608+138,128591,42694.2%96.2%1.69+3,927 (+3.5%)
2026-05-05+112,236-265,967+108,678+136,970576,79794.2%96.2%1.66-8,823 (-7.3%)
2026-04-28+121,059-266,730+106,301+142,606581,65998.1%99.0%1.81+2,996 (+2.5%)
2026-04-21+118,063-267,452+108,433+139,970618,54098.1%98.1%1.82-13,493 (-10.3%)
2026-04-14+131,556-274,598+101,339+134,518604,587100.0%100.0%2.05+40,013 (+43.7%)
2026-04-07+91,543-239,935+102,826+125,919601,55496.2%90.5%1.56-7,339 (-7.4%)
2026-03-31+98,882-243,035+101,819+122,125593,54498.1%93.3%1.70-7,375 (-6.9%)
2026-03-24+106,257-251,873+101,116+123,371576,213100.0%99.0%1.84+25,345 (+31.3%)
2026-03-17+80,912-221,109+98,217+115,690538,682100.0%90.5%1.53+3,344 (+4.3%)
2026-03-10+77,568-213,724+94,307+105,357529,224100.0%90.5%1.52+18,464 (+31.2%)
2026-03-03+59,104-191,727+101,501+104,089520,940100.0%88.6%1.28+28,703 (+94.4%)
2026-02-24+30,401-170,831+100,388+94,724502,62294.2%78.1%0.88+33,545 (+1067.0%)
2026-02-17-3,144-143,811+107,338+91,898526,30390.4%68.6%0.39+14,070 (+81.7%)
2026-02-10-17,214-133,328+107,119+84,752530,65686.5%63.8%0.18+8,479 (+33.0%)
2026-02-03-25,693-122,111+106,495+78,103545,72980.8%57.1%0.05+10,109 (+28.2%)
2026-01-27-35,802-112,006+103,937+70,379533,25378.8%53.3%-0.10+7,004 (+16.4%)
2026-01-20-42,806-98,684+106,945+76,500526,12578.8%51.4%-0.21-21,771 (-103.5%)
2026-01-13-21,035-114,128+100,639+81,092512,37684.6%59.0%0.11+3,158 (+13.1%)
2026-01-06-24,193-99,672+100,722+87,657490,37984.6%57.1%0.05-10,999 (-83.4%)
2025-12-30-13,194-108,284+99,529+90,787487,81488.5%61.0%0.20+5,074 (+27.8%)
2025-12-23-18,268-114,829+98,938+93,740520,06488.5%58.1%0.11-14,252 (-354.9%)
2025-12-16-4,016-125,696+97,129+100,384545,17390.4%62.9%0.29-22,339 (-121.9%)
2025-12-09+18,323-139,246+95,447+103,096557,88594.2%70.5%0.58-32,263 (-63.8%)
2025-12-02+50,586-164,360+96,883+104,995565,65898.1%80.0%1.00-7,691 (-13.2%)
2025-11-25+58,277-167,923+95,644+105,700571,839100.0%81.9%1.07+9,951 (+20.6%)
2025-11-18+48,326-177,527+98,193+106,200601,776100.0%78.1%0.91+44,025 (+1023.6%)
2025-11-04+4,301-145,615+100,344+98,436614,347100.0%64.8%0.32+55,445 (+108.4%)
2025-10-28-51,144-104,026+103,586+82,589648,00090.4%44.8%-0.41+44,601 (+46.6%)
2025-10-21-95,745-71,495+106,100+68,165685,72332.7%16.2%-1.00+22,728 (+19.2%)
2025-10-14-118,473-50,410+107,450+68,014692,02213.5%6.7%-1.31-6,181 (-5.5%)
2025-10-07-112,292-56,862+110,032+70,073673,78713.5%6.7%-1.26-822 (-0.7%)
2025-09-30-111,470-55,630+107,744+67,720651,07813.5%6.7%-1.27-18,608 (-20.0%)
2025-09-23-92,862-71,201+107,801+75,234645,05034.6%17.1%-1.05-11,834 (-14.6%)
2025-09-16-81,028-76,312+105,313+81,132620,28550.0%24.8%-0.92+4,471 (+5.2%)
2025-09-09-85,499-70,686+105,057+82,999603,62440.4%20.0%-1.00-576 (-0.7%)
2025-09-02-84,923-61,739+103,634+81,016582,53142.3%21.0%-1.01-23,130 (-37.4%)
2025-08-26-61,793-79,797+98,566+82,491597,42261.5%30.5%-0.73+27,300 (+30.6%)

Who Is Holding

Weekly holder positioning stacked by net size in contracts

Each holder is merged to a net position, then stacked from the largest holder at the bottom to the smallest at the top.

Producer / MerchantSwap DealersManaged MoneyOther ReportablesNonreportable